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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | Gdub | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 75% (548–181, n=729) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $15K | $5.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #940 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #26 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (5 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (28 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Politics −1 pts, n=151 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 78% of 773 at avg 75¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 12% (won 15% of 95) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 7% (won 43% of 56) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 9% (won 68% of 68) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 72% (won 93% of 554) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.