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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market50% (1028–1048, n=2076)47% (12761–14165, n=26926)
Consensus PnL——$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked as——PM monthly #62PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position63% (58 of 92 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——5% (won 94% of 50)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢——41% (won 99% of 392)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢——49% (won 99% of 469)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up——5% (won 100% of 44)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.