Consensus PnL $149K · win rate 66% (89–45, n=134) · PM monthly #509 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$149.4K
Record
89W / 45L
Win Rate
66.0%
of 134 settled
Batting Avg
14.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#620
Source
PM monthly #509
Record (90 d)
21/24 · 88%
Trades
2,920
Markets
151
Volume
$3.4M
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Specialties
107 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 73¢- Soccer
+31 pts
side won 97% of 36 · avg entry 66¢
ROI +29%
- Esports
+20 pts
side won 94% of 51 · avg entry 74¢
ROI +18%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 71% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 32%(won 100% of 34)
- 70¢ and up: 62%(won 97% of 66)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.