No settled consensus market yet · was PM monthly #974 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #974
Record (90 d)
41/54 · 76%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
67 settled consensus markets · held side won 79% at an average entry of 50¢- NBA
+32 pts
side won 81% of 27 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +46%
- Other Sports
+30 pts
side won 79% of 24 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +39%
- Soccer
+28 pts
side won 80% of 15 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +40%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 55%(won 78% of 37)
- 50–70¢: 43%(won 79% of 29)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.