
Consensus PnL $32K · win rate 84% (57–11, n=68) · PM monthly #567 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$31.5K
Record
57W / 11L
Win Rate
84.0%
of 68 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#362
Source
PM monthly #567
Trades
57
Markets
96
Volume
$197.3K
Specialties
56 settled consensus markets · held side won 75% at an average entry of 66¢- Soccer
+6 pts
side won 60% of 10 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +7%
- Esports
+6 pts
side won 73% of 11 · avg entry 67¢
ROI −12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 31% of 16)
- 30–50¢: 4%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 4%(won 100% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 64%(won 94% of 36)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.