No settled consensus market yet · hand-picked wallet · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
268 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 95¢- Elections
+2 pts
side won 99% of 68 · avg entry 96¢
ROI +3%
- Politics
+5 pts
side won 100% of 24 · avg entry 95¢
ROI +5%
- Tech
+5 pts
side won 95% of 19 · avg entry 90¢
ROI +3%
Weakest: Mentions — held side won 87% of 23 at an average 94¢ entry (−7 pts against the price), ROI −1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 1%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 67% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 98%(won 97% of 262)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.