Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 57% (610–469, n=1079) · PM monthly #891 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$23.1K
Record
610W / 469L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 1079 settled
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#843
Source
PM monthly #891
Record (90 d)
212/368 · 58%
Trades
0
Markets
1,262
Volume
$1.3M
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Specialties
1,025 settled consensus markets · held side won 60% at an average entry of 53¢- Esports
+7 pts
side won 60% of 994 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +5%
Weakest: NBA — held side won 46% of 26 at an average 50¢ entry (−4 pts against the price), ROI −25%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 24% of 54)
- 30–50¢: 34%(won 44% of 344)
- 50–70¢: 49%(won 69% of 506)
- 70¢ and up: 12%(won 85% of 121)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.