No settled consensus market yet · hand-picked wallet · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
1,436 settled consensus markets · held side won 46% at an average entry of 34¢- Economy
+24 pts
side won 56% of 45 · avg entry 32¢
ROI +11%
- Tech
+18 pts
side won 51% of 100 · avg entry 33¢
ROI +7%
- Elections
+15 pts
side won 51% of 169 · avg entry 36¢
ROI +14%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 58%(won 18% of 831)
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 64% of 167)
- 50–70¢: 11%(won 86% of 157)
- 70¢ and up: 20%(won 97% of 281)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.