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20
Consensus PnL $18K · win rate 78% (14–4, n=18) · was PM monthly #940 · holds 1 consensus position
0x20180a43...ad8e0e63Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp
Consensus PnL
$18.2K
Record
14W / 4L
Win Rate
78.0%
of 18 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#515
Source
PM monthly #940
Trades
19
Markets
24
Volume
$72.3K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageLilmix $3 · now 0¢ · in at 43¢with the consensus (40% of 5)
Specialties
13 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 54¢- Esports
+46 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +52%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 31%(won 100% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 100% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 23%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.