Consensus PnL -$33K · win rate 90% (337–38, n=375) · PM monthly #773 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-33.5K
Record
337W / 38L
Win Rate
90.0%
of 375 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#184
Source
PM monthly #773
Record (90 d)
311/382 · 81%
Trades
8
Markets
384
Volume
$263.0K
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Specialties
368 settled consensus markets · held side won 81% at an average entry of 37¢- Crypto
+43 pts
side won 80% of 317 · avg entry 37¢
ROI +42%
- Soccer
+47 pts
side won 82% of 17 · avg entry 35¢
ROI +48%
- NBA
+50 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +51%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 25%(won 69% of 91)
- 30–50¢: 60%(won 83% of 219)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 95% of 58)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.