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UpDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$2.2
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$2.2
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 54% 305-265 (570) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 512-354 (866) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $10 | — | -$2.1 | 41% 240-341 (581) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 485-306 (791) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 365-343 (708) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 134-186 (320) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
54%
305-265 (570)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
512-354 (866)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
41%
240-341 (581)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
485-306 (791)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
365-343 (708)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
134-186 (320)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x219a1126...a91f78
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794256200