Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

7

Up 86%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$272.78

Combined PnL

$96.36

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$206.8

Total Shares207

Combined PnL+$121.01

Down1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares37

Combined PnL-$24.65

Up — 86%Down — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 49.2¢	$64.47	$65.97	+$1.51	67% 100201-48634 (148835)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.2¢	$32.49	$65.97	+$33.49
└ Down leg	Downavg 53.3¢	$31.98	—	-$31.98
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507	Upavg 21.8¢	$24.64	$113.14	+$88.5	48% 23559-25849 (49408)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 98.7¢	$29.7	$30.1	+$0.4	65% 126838-67771 (194609)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 49.6¢	$12.25	$22.27	+$10.02	62% 52812-31706 (84518)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 60.2¢	$24.65	—	-$24.65	65% 112816-59667 (172483)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 58.7¢	$12.69	$20.43	+$7.74	54% 46462-38844 (85306)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 31.1¢	$5.38	$10.86	+$5.48	57% 72361-55060 (127421)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 11.5¢	$1.15	$10	+$8.85	56% 58856-45465 (104321)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100

Invested

$64.47

Value

$65.97

PnL

+$1.51

Record

67%

100201-48634 (148835)

Both legs:

Up$32.4949.2¢+$33.49

Down$31.9853.3¢-$31.98

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Invested

$24.64

Value

$113.14

PnL

+$88.5

Record

48%

23559-25849 (49408)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$29.7

Value

$30.1

PnL

+$0.4

Record

65%

126838-67771 (194609)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$12.25

Value

$22.27

PnL

+$10.02

Record

62%

52812-31706 (84518)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$24.65

Value

—

PnL

-$24.65

Record

65%

112816-59667 (172483)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$12.69

Value

$20.43

PnL

+$7.74

Record

54%

46462-38844 (85306)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$5.38

Value

$10.86

PnL

+$5.48

Record

57%

72361-55060 (127421)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$1.15

Value

$10

PnL

+$8.85

Record

56%

58856-45465 (104321)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x5bac38ae...57653f

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1793604300

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Arbitrage — excluded

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $113.14

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $30.1

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $22.27

antsaslyku

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Up — $20.43

uninformedfloww

Up — $10.86

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $10

Trade on Polymarket