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UpDownUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 71%
Total Value
$39.01
Combined PnL
-$5.98
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares67
Combined PnL-$7.89
Down2 traders
Total Value$39.01
Total Shares39
Combined PnL+$1.91
Up — 71%Down — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $1.82 | — | -$1.82 | 59% 63038-44010 (107048) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $28.5 | $30.32 | +$1.82 | 65% 126751-67737 (194488) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.7¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 57% 72310-55026 (127336) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $8.6 | $8.69 | +$0.09 | 62% 52780-31682 (84462) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.47 | — | -$1.47 | 52% 91616-86008 (177624) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 61% 96318-60730 (157048) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 66% 127463-65582 (193045) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.82
Value
—
PnL
-$1.82
Record
59%
63038-44010 (107048)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$28.5
Value
$30.32
PnL
+$1.82
Record
65%
126751-67737 (194488)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
57%
72310-55026 (127336)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$8.6
Value
$8.69
PnL
+$0.09
Record
62%
52780-31682 (84462)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.47
Value
—
PnL
-$1.47
Record
52%
91616-86008 (177624)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
61%
96318-60730 (157048)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
66%
127463-65582 (193045)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x862c1f13...6eaa02
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793603400