Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 57%
$71.18
-$36.43
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 43.3¢ | $28.56 | — | -$28.56 | 67% 100201-48634 (148835) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 54.3¢ | $29.47 | $36.25 | +$6.78 | 65% 112816-59667 (172483) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $23.97 | $29.78 | +$5.8 | 65% 126838-67771 (194609) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.2¢ | $10.07 | — | -$10.07 | 54% 46462-38844 (85306) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 93% 24712-1827 (26539) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.7¢ | $9.33 | — | -$9.33 | 57% 72361-55060 (127421) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $0.07 | $0.15 | +$0.08 | 47% 12949-14528 (27477) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.2¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 62% 52812-31706 (84518) |
Invested
$28.56
Value
—
PnL
-$28.56
Record
67%
100201-48634 (148835)
Invested
$29.47
Value
$36.25
PnL
+$6.78
Record
65%
112816-59667 (172483)
Invested
$23.97
Value
$29.78
PnL
+$5.8
Record
65%
126838-67771 (194609)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.07
Value
—
PnL
-$10.07
Record
54%
46462-38844 (85306)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
93%
24712-1827 (26539)
Invested
$9.33
Value
—
PnL
-$9.33
Record
57%
72361-55060 (127421)
Invested
$0.07
Value
$0.15
PnL
+$0.08
Record
47%
12949-14528 (27477)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
62%
52812-31706 (84518)