Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Jessica Pegula — but Mirra Andreeva won instead.

Game Spread: Mirra Andreeva (-3.5) vs Jessica Pegula (+3.5)

Resolved Mirra Andreeva. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Jessica Pegula. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Jessica Pegula 50%

Total Value

$651.53

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Jessica Pegula

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Mirra Andreeva100%

Jessica Pegula0%

Jessica Pegula4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,009

Combined PnL$-1.3K

Mirra Andreeva4 traders

Total Value$651.53

Total Shares652

Combined PnL+$84.17

Jessica Pegula — 50%Mirra Andreeva — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HI hi774cCTR	Jessica Pegulaavg 44¢	$1.0K	—	$-1.0K	23% 184-622 (806)
PV pvc975	Mirra Andreevaavg 99.9¢	$463.66	$464.12	+$0.46	98% 419-8 (427)
VeryLucky888CTR	Jessica Pegulaavg 44.2¢	$277.27	—	-$277.27	54% 1497-1295 (2792)
CR Crazyboy77	Mirra Andreevaavg 55¢	$63.52	$115.49	+$51.97	13% 16-106 (122)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100	Mirra Andreevaavg 56¢	$37.84	$67.57	+$29.73	36% 275-492 (767)
IC ic4creamCTR<$100	Jessica Pegulaavg 45¢	$9.9	—	-$9.9	7% 33-460 (493)
GA GamblingAddict12345CTR<$100	Jessica Pegulaavg 44¢	$9.43	—	-$9.43	54% 45-38 (83)
0X 0x241ADda58eD48866f0dEeC7867731dD84c5BA9C8-1763470351516<$100	Mirra Andreevaavg 54¢	$2.35	$4.35	+$2	60% 18-12 (30)