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OverUnder
RN1<$100OverUnderOverOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City WFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$561.95
Combined PnL
-$298.41
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares477
Combined PnL-$309.08
Over3 traders
Total Value$26.83
Total Shares27
Combined PnL+$10.67
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 36¢ | $275.83 | $535.13 | +$259.29 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 36¢ | $192.54 | $535.13 | +$342.59 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 36.2¢ | $83.29 | — | -$83.29 | |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 65.8¢ | $302.69 | — | -$302.69 | 64% 300-171 (471) |
RN1<$100 | Overavg 37¢ | $7.45 | $16.83 | +$9.37 | 55% 5370-4319 (9689) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 39¢ | $4.44 | — | -$4.44 | 36% 937-1647 (2584) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Overavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 99% 465-7 (472) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Overavg 75¢ | $3.75 | $5 | +$1.25 | 55% 469-381 (850) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 39¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 36% 953-1669 (2622) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$275.83
Value
$535.13
PnL
+$259.29
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
Both legs:
Over$192.5436¢+$342.59
Under$83.2936.2¢-$83.29
DA
dashattackerCTRInvested
$302.69
Value
—
PnL
-$302.69
Record
64%
300-171 (471)
RN1<$100Invested
$7.45
Value
$16.83
PnL
+$9.37
Record
55%
5370-4319 (9689)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$4.44
Value
—
PnL
-$4.44
Record
36%
937-1647 (2584)
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
99%
465-7 (472)
LE
LeLynxMalynx<$100Invested
$3.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.25
Record
55%
469-381 (850)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
36%
953-1669 (2622)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdd1a8c63...b6eb41
Slug
wsl-cfc-mci-2026-11-14-first-half-total-0pt5