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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?

Resolved Yes. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

23

Yes 45%

Total Value

$2.8K

Combined PnL

$-1.7K

Smart Money Signal

Yes

11 of 23 top traders (48%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes11 traders
Total Value$2.8K
Total Shares2,823
Combined PnL-$29.83
No12 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares738
Combined PnL$-1.7K
Yes — 48%No — 52%
PV
pvc975
Yes

Invested

$1,961.07

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$1.91

Record

98%

14242-313 (14555)

AN
anciano
Yes

Invested

$464.91

Value

$490

PnL

+$15.54

Record

52%

1213-1098 (2311)

0X
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938
Yes

Invested

$422.02

Value

$324.01

PnL

-$13.27

Record

45%

2525-3059 (5584)

CO
cowcat<$100
Yes

Invested

$27.91

Value

$31

PnL

+$2.54

Record

53%

1631-1463 (3094)

GA
GaditimaCTR<$100
No

Invested

$62.86

Value

—

PnL

-$62.86

Record

48%

6965-7593 (14558)

XT
xtxpleasecallme
Yes

Invested

$101.07

Value

$14.93

PnL

-$39.71

Record

35%

17800-33165 (50965)

SI
SitsToPeeCTR
No

Invested

$4,700.7

Value

—

PnL

$-1.7K

Record

59%

382-268 (650)

AB
ABC12345654321CTR<$100
No

Invested

$4.77

Value

—

PnL

-$4.77

Record

50%

1748-1776 (3524)

CI
cigarettesCTR<$100
No

Invested

$4.76

Value

—

PnL

-$4.91

Record

53%

22161-19289 (41450)

LU
luciebotCTR<$100
No

Invested

$0.74

Value

—

PnL

-$0.74

Record

30%

2222-5090 (7312)

QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100
No

Invested

$0.5

Value

—

PnL

-$0.5

Record

60%

11576-7759 (19335)

balthazarCTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

28804-25713 (54517)

ArmageddonRewardsBilly<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

15706-12366 (28072)

AH
aHjCzCTR<$100
No

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

+$13.16

Record

39%

5418-8450 (13868)

GR
graynotebook19CTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$42.17

Record

62%

14630-9158 (23788)

QU
quietparcelCTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$8.38

Record

50%

9583-9583 (19166)

ME
merod<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

2956-4064 (7020)

MI
mildwindow27CTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

8156-9340 (17496)

SM
smallreceiptCTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

8636-9158 (17794)

DO
DooBieZ<$100
Yes

Invested

$87.3

Value

—

PnL

+$0.46

Record

54%

1967-1643 (3610)

PE
peepeepooppoop
Yes

Invested

$250.24

Value

—

PnL

+$2.72

Record

51%

2210-2124 (4334)

Istaroth<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

15%

435-2472 (2907)

CR
cry.eth2<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

9631-14539 (24170)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xeb348335...f06001
Slug
will-the-republican-party-win-the-wy-al-house-seat

Traders in this Market

PV

pvc975

Yes — $2.0K

+$1.91
AN

anciano

Yes — $490

+$15.54
0X

0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938

Yes — $324.01

-$13.27
CO

cowcat

Yes — $31

+$2.54
GA

Gaditima

CTR

No — $0

-$62.86
XT

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $14.93

-$39.71
SI

SitsToPee

CTR

No — $0

$-1.7K
AB

ABC12345654321

CTR

No — $0

-$4.77
CI

cigarettes

CTR

No — $0

-$4.91
LU

luciebot

CTR

No — $0

-$0.74
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