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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the nationwide ground stop be lifted Nov 13, 8–9 PM ET?

Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Yes 100%

Total Value

$7.8K

Combined PnL

$593.44

Smart Money Signal

Yes

12 of 14 top traders (86%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes12 traders

Total Value$7.8K

Total Shares7,811

Combined PnL+$392.44

No2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$201

Yes — 86%No — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2	Yesavg 99.9¢	$5.6K	$5.6K	+$5.57	— 4-1 (5)
thefakenick	Yesavg 97.8¢	$1.9K	$2.0K	+$42.77	— 4-3 (7)
probability	Yesavg 78.6¢	$80.77	$102.74	+$21.97	42% 20-28 (48)
MA MarquisDeMott<$100	Yesavg 99.1¢	$76.31	$77	+$0.69	93% 106-8 (114)
PA PacersThreeandahalf<$100	Yesavg 98.5¢	$59.09	$60	+$0.91	61% 1027-652 (1679)
Dr.mett<$100	Yesavg 95.5¢	$28.33	$29.67	+$1.34	— 13-2 (15)
Robbb<$100	Yesavg 94¢	$9.4	$10	+$0.6	— 11-2 (13)
HU hugecaulk<$100	Yesavg 94.1¢	$8	$8.5	+$0.5	29% 9-22 (31)
HoshinoAI<$100	Yesavg 3¢	$0.04	$1.23	+$1.19	29% 20-48 (68)
balthazarCTR<$100	Noavg 18.7¢	$34.57	—	+$140.84	44% 5041-6482 (11523)
XT xtxpleasecallme	Yesavg 4¢	$100.44	—	+$174.38	39% 3605-5672 (9277)
QW qwen300.fund<$100	Yesavg 5.3¢	$0.99	—	+$22.38	29% 3160-7827 (10987)
AH aHjCzCTR<$100	Noavg 4.9¢	$3.31	—	+$60.16	25% 1308-3933 (5241)
ENORMOUZ	Yesavg 78.1¢	$448.13	—	+$120.13	— 14-1 (15)

0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2

Invested

$5,562.15

Value

$5.6K

PnL

+$5.57

Record

—

4-1 (5)

Invested

$1,911.86

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$42.77

Record

—

4-3 (7)

Invested

$80.77

Value

$102.74

PnL

+$21.97

Record

42%

20-28 (48)

MarquisDeMott<$100

Invested

$76.31

Value

$77

PnL

+$0.69

Record

93%

106-8 (114)

PacersThreeandahalf<$100

Invested

$59.09

Value

$60

PnL

+$0.91

Record

61%

1027-652 (1679)

Invested

$28.33

Value

$29.67

PnL

+$1.34

Record

—

13-2 (15)

Invested

$9.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.6

Record

—

11-2 (13)

Invested

$8

Value

$8.5

PnL

+$0.5

Record

29%

9-22 (31)

Invested

$0.04

Value

$1.23

PnL

+$1.19

Record

29%

20-48 (68)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

$34.57

Value

—

PnL

+$140.84

Record

44%

5041-6482 (11523)

xtxpleasecallme

Invested

$100.44

Value

—

PnL

+$174.38

Record

39%

3605-5672 (9277)

qwen300.fund<$100

Invested

$0.99

Value

—

PnL

+$22.38

Record

29%

3160-7827 (10987)

Invested

$3.31

Value

—

PnL

+$60.16

Record

25%

1308-3933 (5241)

Invested

$448.13

Value

—

PnL

+$120.13

Record

—

14-1 (15)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

12 of 14 top traders (86%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2738b68b...1672aa

Slug

will-the-nationwide-ground-stop-be-lifted-nov-13-89-pm-et

Traders in this Market

0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2

Yes — $5.6K

thefakenick

Yes — $2.0K

probability

Yes — $102.74

MarquisDeMott

Yes — $77

PacersThreeandahalf

Yes — $60

Dr.mett

Yes — $29.67

Robbb

Yes — $10

hugecaulk

Yes — $8.5

HoshinoAI

Yes — $1.23

balthazar

No — $0

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