Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
Resolved No. 94% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
No 100%
$2.3K
$24.85
Smart Money Signal
16 of 17 top traders (94%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Talophex | Noavg 98.6¢ | $493 | $500 | +$7 | 91% 946-95 (1041) |
0X 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938 | Noavg 97.4¢ | $297.18 | $295 | +$4.78 | 45% 2525-3059 (5584) |
QW qwen300.fund | Noavg 98.2¢ | $284.72 | $290 | +$5.28 | 60% 11576-7759 (19335) |
PV pvc975 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $245.82 | $246.35 | +$0.53 | 98% 14242-313 (14555) |
 Slowroasted | Noavg 98.5¢ | $203.57 | $206.67 | +$3.1 | 88% 2006-279 (2285) |
PE peepeepooppoop | Noavg 97.8¢ | $195.6 | $200 | +$4.4 | 51% 2210-2124 (4334) |
KO korda77 | Noavg 97.9¢ | $133.4 | $136.09 | -$7.78 | 44% 6236-7975 (14211) |
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100 | Noavg 98.2¢ | $78.7 | $80.14 | +$1.44 | 47% 1630-1807 (3437) |
0X 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658<$100 | Noavg 98.2¢ | $78.68 | $80.12 | +$1.44 | 38% 997-1606 (2603) |
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100 | Noavg 98.2¢ | $78.62 | $80.06 | +$1.44 | 40% 2104-3149 (5253) |
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100 | Noavg 98.2¢ | $78.61 | $80.05 | +$1.44 | 47% 2081-2362 (4443) |
SM smallreceipt<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | $33.13 | $33.81 | -$1.71 | 49% 8636-9158 (17794) |
E4 e46m3<$100 | No | $28.03 | $28.03 | +$0 | 73% 13591-5101 (18692) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 96.6¢ | $11.72 | $7.78 | -$3.94 | 35% 17800-33165 (50965) |
 ImJustKen | Noavg 93¢ | $516.15 | $0 | +$27.38 | 53% 3072-2742 (5814) |
SI SitsToPeeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 59% 382-268 (650) |
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100 | No | — | — | -$19.94 | 55% 4365-3560 (7925) |
TalophexInvested
$493
Value
$500
PnL
+$7
Record
91%
946-95 (1041)
Invested
$297.18
Value
$295
PnL
+$4.78
Record
45%
2525-3059 (5584)
Invested
$284.72
Value
$290
PnL
+$5.28
Record
60%
11576-7759 (19335)
Invested
$245.82
Value
$246.35
PnL
+$0.53
Record
98%
14242-313 (14555)
SlowroastedInvested
$203.57
Value
$206.67
PnL
+$3.1
Record
88%
2006-279 (2285)
Invested
$195.6
Value
$200
PnL
+$4.4
Record
51%
2210-2124 (4334)
Invested
$133.4
Value
$136.09
PnL
-$7.78
Record
44%
6236-7975 (14211)
Invested
$78.7
Value
$80.14
PnL
+$1.44
Record
47%
1630-1807 (3437)
Invested
$78.68
Value
$80.12
PnL
+$1.44
Record
38%
997-1606 (2603)
Invested
$78.62
Value
$80.06
PnL
+$1.44
Record
40%
2104-3149 (5253)
Invested
$78.61
Value
$80.05
PnL
+$1.44
Record
47%
2081-2362 (4443)
Invested
$33.13
Value
$33.81
PnL
-$1.71
Record
49%
8636-9158 (17794)
Invested
$28.03
Value
$28.03
PnL
+$0
Record
73%
13591-5101 (18692)
Invested
$11.72
Value
$7.78
PnL
-$3.94
Record
35%
17800-33165 (50965)
ImJustKenInvested
$516.15
Value
$0
PnL
+$27.38
Record
53%
3072-2742 (5814)
Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
59%
382-268 (650)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$19.94
Record
55%
4365-3560 (7925)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Talophex
No — $500
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938
No — $295
qwen300.fund
No — $290
pvc975
No — $246.35
Slowroasted
No — $206.67
peepeepooppoop
No — $200
korda77
No — $136.09
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293
No — $80.14
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658
No — $80.12
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225
No — $80.06