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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-30 House seat?

Resolved Yes. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Yes 80%

Total Value

$3.2K

Combined PnL

$22.58

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 11 top traders (45%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes5 traders

Total Value$3.2K

Total Shares3,175

Combined PnL+$22.6

No6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares20

Combined PnL-$0.02

Yes — 45%No — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PV pvc975	Yesavg 99.9¢	$2.5K	$2.5K	+$3.12	98% 14242-313 (14555)
CI cigarettes	Yesavg 96.6¢	$426.56	$440	+$13.44	53% 22161-19289 (41450)
0X 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yesavg 96.7¢	$96.7	$167	+$4.15	45% 2525-3059 (5584)
PU purplegatto<$100	Yesavg 94.9¢	$37.58	$39.6	+$1.88	50% 6107-6209 (12316)
balthazarCTR<$100	Noavg 0.1¢	$0.02	—	-$0.02	53% 28804-25713 (54517)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Noavg 4¢	—	—	+$0	35% 17800-33165 (50965)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100	Noavg 7¢	—	—	+$0	56% 15706-12366 (28072)
ME merodCTR<$100	Noavg 3.7¢	—	—	+$0	42% 2956-4064 (7020)
KO korda77CTR<$100	Noavg 2.8¢	—	—	+$0	44% 6236-7975 (14211)
SI SitsToPeeCTR<$100	Noavg 7¢	—	—	+$0	59% 382-268 (650)
0X 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710<$100	Yesavg 93¢	—	—	+$0	52% 2127-1991 (4118)

Invested

$2,525.54

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$3.12

Record

98%

14242-313 (14555)

Invested

$426.56

Value

$440

PnL

+$13.44

Record

53%

22161-19289 (41450)

0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938

Invested

$96.7

Value

$167

PnL

+$4.15

Record

45%

2525-3059 (5584)

purplegatto<$100

Invested

$37.58

Value

$39.6

PnL

+$1.88

Record

50%

6107-6209 (12316)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

$0.02

Value

—

PnL

-$0.02

Record

53%

28804-25713 (54517)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

17800-33165 (50965)

ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

15706-12366 (28072)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

2956-4064 (7020)

korda77CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

44%

6236-7975 (14211)

SitsToPeeCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

382-268 (650)

0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

2127-1991 (4118)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 11 top traders (45%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xa654e3d4...eafb66

Slug

will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-30-house-seat

Traders in this Market

pvc975

Yes — $2.5K

cigarettes

Yes — $440

0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938

Yes — $167

purplegatto

Yes — $39.6

balthazar

No — $0

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

ArmageddonRewardsBilly

No — $0

merod

No — $0

korda77

No — $0

SitsToPee

No — $0

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