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Hannah-MontanaYesYesNoYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100NoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Thailand be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved Yes. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 50%
Total Value
$472.1
Combined PnL
$6.56
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$472.1
Total Shares472
Combined PnL+$87.45
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares346
Combined PnL-$80.9
Yes — 57%No — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hannah-Montana | Yesavg 81.7¢ | $328.52 | $402.09 | +$73.57 | — 0-11 (11) |
PV pvc975<$100 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $49.95 | $50 | +$0.05 | 98% 349-6 (355) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 21¢ | $50.55 | — | -$33.5 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100 | Yesavg 30¢ | $36.37 | $20 | +$13.63 | 25% 95-290 (385) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Noavg 18¢ | $19.8 | — | -$19.8 | 14% 90-553 (643) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Noavg 69¢ | $27.6 | — | -$27.6 | 53% 7113-6221 (13334) |
SU SulkingCrypto<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | $6.6 | $0.01 | +$0.21 | 17% 25-124 (149) |
Hannah-MontanaInvested
$328.52
Value
$402.09
PnL
+$73.57
Record
—
0-11 (11)
PV
pvc975<$100Invested
$49.95
Value
$50
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
349-6 (355)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$50.55
Value
—
PnL
-$33.5
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100Invested
$36.37
Value
$20
PnL
+$13.63
Record
25%
95-290 (385)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$19.8
Value
—
PnL
-$19.8
Record
14%
90-553 (643)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$27.6
Value
—
PnL
-$27.6
Record
53%
7113-6221 (13334)
SU
SulkingCrypto<$100Invested
$6.6
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0.21
Record
17%
25-124 (149)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x23aa8c36...d22b7a
Slug
will-thailand-be-in-the-top-3-at-eurovision-asia-2026