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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
No 40%
Total Value
$1.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 10 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa91a8d68...64f3c9
Slug
will-russia-target-kyiv-on-october-18-2026