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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
No 56%
Total Value
$2.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 9 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9f3a31f6...c0e2c3
Slug
will-russia-target-kyiv-on-october-20-2026