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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
16
Yes 60%
Total Value
$49.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
10 of 16 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaa8749bc...ec4144
Slug
will-russia-target-kyiv-on-october-16-2026