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Hannah-MontanaNoNoNoYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYes
HaradwaithCTRYes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Malaysia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 38%
Total Value
$291.7
Combined PnL
-$75.9
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$291.7
Total Shares292
Combined PnL+$41.66
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares786
Combined PnL-$117.55
No — 38%Yes — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hannah-Montana | Noavg 97¢ | $207.58 | $214 | +$6.42 | — 0-11 (11) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 12¢ | $4.8 | $40 | +$35.2 | 53% 7113-6221 (13334) |
PV pvc975<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $37.66 | $37.7 | +$0.04 | 98% 349-6 (355) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1¢ | $13.81 | — | +$65.77 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | $7.48 | — | -$7.48 | 14% 90-553 (643) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR | Yesavg 84¢ | $115.07 | — | -$115.07 | 25% 95-290 (385) |
HaradwaithCTR | Yesavg 87¢ | $101.26 | — | -$51.91 | 30% 197-458 (655) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 73¢ | $8.86 | — | -$8.86 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
Hannah-MontanaInvested
$207.58
Value
$214
PnL
+$6.42
Record
—
0-11 (11)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$35.2
Record
53%
7113-6221 (13334)
PV
pvc975<$100Invested
$37.66
Value
$37.7
PnL
+$0.04
Record
98%
349-6 (355)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$13.81
Value
—
PnL
+$65.77
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$7.48
Value
—
PnL
-$7.48
Record
14%
90-553 (643)
0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTRInvested
$115.07
Value
—
PnL
-$115.07
Record
25%
95-290 (385)
HaradwaithCTRInvested
$101.26
Value
—
PnL
-$51.91
Record
30%
197-458 (655)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$8.86
Value
—
PnL
-$8.86
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc2eeaaef...37c9fb
Slug
will-malaysia-be-in-the-top-3-at-eurovision-asia-2026