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NoNoYes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
HaradwaithCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Laos come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$79.67
Combined PnL
-$7.46
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$79.67
Total Shares80
Combined PnL+$0.19
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares90
Combined PnL-$7.65
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PV pvc975<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $49.62 | $49.67 | +$0.05 | 98% 349-6 (355) |
GO godblessme2026<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | $29.86 | $30 | +$0.14 | 35% 290-535 (825) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $2.23 | — | -$2.23 | 39% 3661-5820 (9481) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.7¢ | $46.26 | — | -$5.42 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 30% 197-458 (655) |
PV
pvc975<$100Invested
$49.62
Value
$49.67
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
349-6 (355)
GO
godblessme2026<$100Invested
$29.86
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.14
Record
35%
290-535 (825)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$2.23
Value
—
PnL
-$2.23
Record
39%
3661-5820 (9481)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$46.26
Value
—
PnL
-$5.42
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
197-458 (655)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4b7f8fb9...135bc0
Slug
will-laos-come-in-2nd-place-at-eurovision-asia-2026