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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will a Western team win Worlds 2026?

Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

No 75%

Total Value

$5.7K

Combined PnL

-$122.54

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No4 traders

Total Value$5.7K

Total Shares5,662

Combined PnL-$13.36

Yes6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,999

Combined PnL-$109.17

No — 40%Yes — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616	Noavg 99.6¢	$5.2K	$4.5K	-$22.9	45% 4452-5427 (9879)
PV pvc975	Noavg 99.9¢	$737.99	$739.01	+$1.02	98% 18127-375 (18502)
0X 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Noavg 98.1¢	$382.27	$389.5	+$7.22	45% 3024-3718 (6742)
AnjunCTR	Yesavg 5.6¢	$107.99	—	-$107.99	55% 5195-4278 (9473)
Haradwaith	Noavg 98.2¢	$227.86	$0.01	+$1.29	40% 6623-9994 (16617)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 7.2¢	—	—	+$0	34% 19523-37138 (56661)
WA WarriorHCTR	Yesavg 1.1¢	$308.91	—	-$1.18	17% 1377-6690 (8067)
EL Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100	Yesavg 7¢	—	—	+$0	77% 12750-3901 (16651)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Yesavg 6.3¢	—	—	+$0	58% 21569-15650 (37219)
IstarothCTR<$100	Yesavg 5.5¢	—	—	+$0	13% 576-3792 (4368)

0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616

Invested

$5,218.12

Value

$4.5K

PnL

-$22.9

Record

45%

4452-5427 (9879)

Invested

$737.99

Value

$739.01

PnL

+$1.02

Record

98%

18127-375 (18502)

0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938

Invested

$382.27

Value

$389.5

PnL

+$7.22

Record

45%

3024-3718 (6742)

Invested

$107.99

Value

—

PnL

-$107.99

Record

55%

5195-4278 (9473)

Invested

$227.86

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$1.29

Record

40%

6623-9994 (16617)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

34%

19523-37138 (56661)

Invested

$308.91

Value

—

PnL

-$1.18

Record

17%

1377-6690 (8067)

Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

12750-3901 (16651)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

21569-15650 (37219)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

13%

576-3792 (4368)

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa16849e0...7aa4f9

Slug

will-a-western-team-win-worlds-2026

Traders in this Market

0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616

No — $4.5K

pvc975

No — $739.01

0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938

No — $389.5

Anjun

Yes — $0

Haradwaith

No — $0.01

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

WarriorH

Yes — $0

Elias.Thornwell

Yes — $0

ghorrock

Yes — $0

Istaroth

Yes — $0

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