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UnderOverUnderOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Hammarby IF vs. Spartak Myjava: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 60%
Total Value
$65.68
Combined PnL
-$77.92
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$45.15
Total Shares215
Combined PnL-$74.85
Over2 traders
Total Value$20.53
Total Shares21
Combined PnL-$3.07
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 44.7¢ | $59.5 | $31.98 | -$27.52 | 56% 1575-1256 (2831) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 92¢ | $19.01 | $15.91 | -$3.1 | 51% 1908-1842 (3750) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 46.8¢ | $51.1 | $13.17 | -$37.93 | 38% 156-251 (407) |
PV pvc975<$100 | Overavg 99.3¢ | $4.59 | $4.62 | +$0.03 | 98% 94-2 (96) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $9.4 | — | -$9.4 | 31% 406-905 (1311) |
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$59.5
Value
$31.98
PnL
-$27.52
Record
56%
1575-1256 (2831)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$19.01
Value
$15.91
PnL
-$3.1
Record
51%
1908-1842 (3750)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$51.1
Value
$13.17
PnL
-$37.93
Record
38%
156-251 (407)
PV
pvc975<$100Invested
$4.59
Value
$4.62
PnL
+$0.03
Record
98%
94-2 (96)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$9.4
Value
—
PnL
-$9.4
Record
31%
406-905 (1311)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x545251f0...837c4b
Slug
uwec-ham-smy-2026-11-11-total-1pt5