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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?
Resolved No. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
73
No 53%
Total Value
$197.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
39 of 73 top traders (53%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc52d0ad0...b1c403
Slug
us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-continues-through-november-8-20261103