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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Club Nacional de Football vs. Albion FC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Over. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Under 90%

Total Value

$11.46

Combined PnL

-$110.93

Smart Money Signal

Under

10 of 11 top traders (91%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over1 trader
Total Value$6.66
Total Shares7
Combined PnL+$0.27
Under10 traders
Total Value$4.8
Total Shares474
Combined PnL-$111.19
Over — 9%Under — 91%
WA
WagerWizard<$100
Over

Invested

$6.39

Value

$6.66

PnL

+$0.27

Record

49%

214-226 (440)

FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$12.52

Value

$4.8

PnL

-$7.72

Record

49%

4352-4620 (8972)

MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$19.85

Value

—

PnL

-$19.85

Record

38%

1230-1969 (3199)

GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$1.67

Value

—

PnL

-$1.67

Record

53%

2421-2179 (4600)

LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$11.24

Value

—

PnL

-$11.24

Record

36%

595-1070 (1665)

VE
VenusianCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$4.62

Value

—

PnL

-$4.62

Record

38%

1210-2005 (3215)

LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$15.83

Value

—

PnL

-$15.83

Record

38%

1223-2021 (3244)

LI
LimousinCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$46

Value

—

PnL

-$46

Record

38%

1202-1984 (3186)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$3.78

Value

—

PnL

-$3.78

Record

38%

1351-2180 (3531)

OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR
Under

Invested

$200

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

141-74 (215)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$0.48

Value

—

PnL

-$0.48

Record

54%

1691-1455 (3146)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xef785b05...21c2c4
Slug
uru1-nac-alb-2026-11-14-total-1pt5

Traders in this Market

WA

WagerWizard

Over — $6.66

+$0.27
FL

Flaznorp

CTR

Under — $4.8

-$7.72
MA

MadridTime

CTR

Under — $0

-$19.85
GO

GoalLineGhost

CTR

Under — $0

-$1.67
LU

LuckyLoo

CTR

Under — $0

-$11.24
VE

Venusian

CTR

Under — $0

-$4.62
LI

LightParadox

CTR

Under — $0

-$15.83
LI

Limousin

CTR

Under — $0

-$46
TO

topdogbigboi

CTR

Under — $0

-$3.78
OV

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

CTR

Under — $0

+$0
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