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NoYesNoYesYesNoYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Romania 2 - 2 Poland?
Resolved No. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 63%
Total Value
$57.72
Combined PnL
-$14.92
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$57.72
Total Shares58
Combined PnL+$4.11
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares393
Combined PnL-$19.03
No — 38%Yes — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189<$100 | Noavg 94.1¢ | $35.3 | $5.2 | -$3.1 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.8¢ | $6.86 | — | -$6.86 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 82.5¢ | $29.94 | $36.29 | +$6.35 | 38% 1138-1890 (3028) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.5¢ | $6.76 | — | -$6.76 | 59% 3805-2621 (6426) |
GC GC-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.5¢ | $3.85 | — | -$3.85 | 39% 402-638 (1040) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 94.7¢ | $15.37 | $16.23 | +$0.86 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $0.81 | — | -$0.81 | 53% 1867-1658 (3525) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $0.76 | — | -$0.76 | 39% 3706-5907 (9613) |
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$35.3
Value
$5.2
PnL
-$3.1
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$6.86
Value
—
PnL
-$6.86
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$29.94
Value
$36.29
PnL
+$6.35
Record
38%
1138-1890 (3028)
NM
NM-PCTR<$100Invested
$6.76
Value
—
PnL
-$6.76
Record
59%
3805-2621 (6426)
GC
GC-PCTR<$100Invested
$3.85
Value
—
PnL
-$3.85
Record
39%
402-638 (1040)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$15.37
Value
$16.23
PnL
+$0.86
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$0.81
Value
—
PnL
-$0.81
Record
53%
1867-1658 (3525)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$0.76
Value
—
PnL
-$0.76
Record
39%
3706-5907 (9613)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7c96e337...8a52b8
Slug
unl-rom-pol-2026-11-14-exact-score-2-2