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NoYesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Romania 2 - 0 Poland?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 83%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
-$19.8
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$20
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$1.05
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares881
Combined PnL-$20.85
No — 17%Yes — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Noavg 97.5¢ | $197.53 | $20 | +$1.05 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.4¢ | $15.11 | — | -$15.11 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
GC GC-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.1¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 39% 402-638 (1040) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.4¢ | $2.02 | — | -$2.02 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $0.81 | — | -$0.81 | 53% 1867-1658 (3525) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $0.76 | — | -$0.76 | 39% 3706-5907 (9613) |
38
38791873984189Invested
$197.53
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.05
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$15.11
Value
—
PnL
-$15.11
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
GC
GC-PCTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
39%
402-638 (1040)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$2.02
Value
—
PnL
-$2.02
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$0.81
Value
—
PnL
-$0.81
Record
53%
1867-1658 (3525)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$0.76
Value
—
PnL
-$0.76
Record
39%
3706-5907 (9613)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x43afcc5c...9b1215
Slug
unl-rom-pol-2026-11-14-exact-score-2-0