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NoYesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Portugal 4 - 0 Denmark?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 80%
Total Value
$36.49
Combined PnL
-$50.41
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$36.49
Total Shares36
Combined PnL+$1.35
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,827
Combined PnL-$51.76
No — 17%Yes — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 96.3¢ | $35.14 | $36.49 | +$1.35 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $27.03 | — | -$27.03 | 21% 27-100 (127) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $65.5 | — | -$19.51 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.5¢ | $1.89 | — | -$1.89 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 39% 3706-5907 (9613) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.5¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$35.14
Value
$36.49
PnL
+$1.35
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
LO
lovedudleyCTR<$100Invested
$27.03
Value
—
PnL
-$27.03
Record
21%
27-100 (127)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$65.5
Value
—
PnL
-$19.51
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$1.89
Value
—
PnL
-$1.89
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
39%
3706-5907 (9613)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4ec41a02...a26728
Slug
unl-prt-den-2026-11-14-exact-score-4-0