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NoYesYesYesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Denmark?
Resolved No. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 86%
Total Value
$64.01
Combined PnL
-$52.75
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$64.01
Total Shares64
Combined PnL+$0.96
Yes7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,820
Combined PnL-$53.71
No — 13%Yes — 87%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 98.5¢ | $63.05 | $64.01 | +$0.96 | 38% 1068-1766 (2834) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.5¢ | $14.4 | — | -$14.4 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $115.75 | — | -$19.86 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.5¢ | $2.91 | — | -$2.91 | 42% 1054-1470 (2524) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 39% 3706-5907 (9613) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.5¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.5¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 53% 1867-1658 (3525) |
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $27.03 | — | -$12.03 | 21% 27-100 (127) |
MA
MadridTime<$100Invested
$63.05
Value
$64.01
PnL
+$0.96
Record
38%
1068-1766 (2834)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$14.4
Value
—
PnL
-$14.4
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$115.75
Value
—
PnL
-$19.86
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$2.91
Value
—
PnL
-$2.91
Record
42%
1054-1470 (2524)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
39%
3706-5907 (9613)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
53%
1867-1658 (3525)
LO
lovedudleyCTR<$100Invested
$27.03
Value
—
PnL
-$12.03
Record
21%
27-100 (127)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x47a3d9fd...e60bb5
Slug
unl-prt-den-2026-11-14-exact-score-3-3