Back to Markets
YesNoYesNo
RN1<$100NoYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Denmark?
Resolved No. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 63%
Total Value
$80
Combined PnL
-$50.17
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,838
Combined PnL-$51.09
No3 traders
Total Value$80
Total Shares80
Combined PnL+$0.92
Yes — 63%No — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $27.03 | — | -$27.03 | 21% 27-100 (127) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | $37.6 | $40 | +$2.4 | 37% 1064-1797 (2861) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $18.16 | — | -$18.16 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | $22.4 | $20 | -$2.4 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
RN1<$100 | Noavg 95.4¢ | $19.08 | $20 | +$0.92 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 39% 3706-5907 (9613) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | $1.16 | — | -$1.16 | 59% 3805-2621 (6426) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $1.42 | — | -$1.42 | 46% 2830-3355 (6185) |
LO
lovedudleyCTR<$100Invested
$27.03
Value
—
PnL
-$27.03
Record
21%
27-100 (127)
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$37.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$2.4
Record
37%
1064-1797 (2861)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$18.16
Value
—
PnL
-$18.16
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$22.4
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.4
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
RN1<$100Invested
$19.08
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.92
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
39%
3706-5907 (9613)
NM
NM-PCTR<$100Invested
$1.16
Value
—
PnL
-$1.16
Record
59%
3805-2621 (6426)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$1.42
Value
—
PnL
-$1.42
Record
46%
2830-3355 (6185)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3e82e6fe...aba946
Slug
unl-prt-den-2026-11-14-exact-score-3-0