Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Denmark?
Resolved No. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Yes 70%
$95.83
-$123.2
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $27.03 | — | -$27.03 | 21% 27-100 (127) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.1¢ | $85.23 | — | -$85.23 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $195.8 | — | +$13.22 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.8¢ | $31 | — | -$31 | 55% 5474-4481 (9955) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | $61.43 | $71.43 | +$10 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 39% 3706-5907 (9613) |
 VeryLucky888 | Noavg 90¢ | $135 | $17.3 | +$3.06 | 54% 1497-1295 (2792) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $5.68 | $7.1 | +$1.42 | 36% 513-930 (1443) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.7¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 46% 2830-3355 (6185) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
Invested
$27.03
Value
—
PnL
-$27.03
Record
21%
27-100 (127)
Invested
$85.23
Value
—
PnL
-$85.23
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
Invested
$195.8
Value
—
PnL
+$13.22
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$31
Value
—
PnL
-$31
Record
55%
5474-4481 (9955)
Invested
$61.43
Value
$71.43
PnL
+$10
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
39%
3706-5907 (9613)
VeryLucky888Invested
$135
Value
$17.3
PnL
+$3.06
Record
54%
1497-1295 (2792)
Invested
$5.68
Value
$7.1
PnL
+$1.42
Record
36%
513-930 (1443)
Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
46%
2830-3355 (6185)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)