Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 4 Denmark?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Yes 44%
$491.37
$67.71
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $27.03 | — | -$27.03 | 21% 27-100 (127) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $18.16 | — | -$18.16 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Yesavg 72.9¢ | $149.96 | — | -$149.96 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
TO topdogbigboi | Noavg 44.8¢ | $100.53 | $221.56 | +$121.03 | 38% 1138-1890 (3028) |
LU LuckyLoo | Noavg 40.3¢ | $91 | $225.8 | +$134.8 | 36% 513-930 (1443) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 39% 3706-5907 (9613) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 85.8¢ | $28.31 | $33 | +$4.69 | 47% 974-1105 (2079) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 37% 1064-1797 (2861) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 13¢ | $0.13 | $1.01 | +$0.88 | 37% 1043-1777 (2820) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 44¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
Invested
$27.03
Value
—
PnL
-$27.03
Record
21%
27-100 (127)
Invested
$18.16
Value
—
PnL
-$18.16
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
Invested
$149.96
Value
—
PnL
-$149.96
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
Invested
$100.53
Value
$221.56
PnL
+$121.03
Record
38%
1138-1890 (3028)
Invested
$91
Value
$225.8
PnL
+$134.8
Record
36%
513-930 (1443)
Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
39%
3706-5907 (9613)
Invested
$28.31
Value
$33
PnL
+$4.69
Record
47%
974-1105 (2079)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
37%
1064-1797 (2861)
Invested
$0.13
Value
$1.01
PnL
+$0.88
Record
37%
1043-1777 (2820)
Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)