Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Denmark?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Yes 80%
$61.19
-$63.42
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 72.3¢ | $26.23 | $36.1 | +$9.87 | 38% 1138-1890 (3028) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 97.9¢ | $24.56 | $25.09 | +$0.53 | 53% 1867-1658 (3525) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | $54.56 | — | +$1.71 | 48% 3305-3631 (6936) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 46% 2830-3355 (6185) |
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $27.03 | — | -$27.03 | 21% 27-100 (127) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.2¢ | $37 | — | -$37 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
GC GC-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.8¢ | $4.27 | — | -$4.27 | 39% 402-638 (1040) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 39% 3706-5907 (9613) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.8¢ | $0.54 | — | -$0.54 | 59% 3805-2621 (6426) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.7¢ | $1.47 | — | -$1.47 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
Invested
$26.23
Value
$36.1
PnL
+$9.87
Record
38%
1138-1890 (3028)
Invested
$24.56
Value
$25.09
PnL
+$0.53
Record
53%
1867-1658 (3525)
Invested
$54.56
Value
—
PnL
+$1.71
Record
48%
3305-3631 (6936)
Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
46%
2830-3355 (6185)
Invested
$27.03
Value
—
PnL
-$27.03
Record
21%
27-100 (127)
Invested
$37
Value
—
PnL
-$37
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
Invested
$4.27
Value
—
PnL
-$4.27
Record
39%
402-638 (1040)
Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
39%
3706-5907 (9613)
Invested
$0.54
Value
—
PnL
-$0.54
Record
59%
3805-2621 (6426)
Invested
$1.47
Value
—
PnL
-$1.47
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)