Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Israel leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
No 75%
$1.7K
-$32.13
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 88¢ | $649.69 | $708.33 | +$58.64 | 53% 2085-1830 (3915) |
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 89.6¢ | $325.43 | $337.77 | +$12.34 | 49% 3821-3983 (7804) |
PV pvc975 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $200.96 | $201.16 | +$0.2 | 99% 337-5 (342) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 98.9¢ | $177.95 | $180 | +$2.05 | 36% 948-1669 (2617) |
SN SnakeBall | Noavg 80¢ | $138.8 | $173.5 | +$34.7 | 47% 895-994 (1889) |
LI LightParadox | Noavg 96¢ | $115.2 | $120 | +$4.8 | 37% 960-1662 (2622) |
 RN1CTR | Yesavg 11.8¢ | $115.09 | — | -$115.09 | 55% 5363-4304 (9667) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.2¢ | $29.75 | — | -$29.75 | 48% 3214-3513 (6727) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.9¢ | $5.02 | — | -$0.02 | 48% 2074-2236 (4310) |
Invested
$649.69
Value
$708.33
PnL
+$58.64
Record
53%
2085-1830 (3915)
Invested
$325.43
Value
$337.77
PnL
+$12.34
Record
49%
3821-3983 (7804)
Invested
$200.96
Value
$201.16
PnL
+$0.2
Record
99%
337-5 (342)
Invested
$177.95
Value
$180
PnL
+$2.05
Record
36%
948-1669 (2617)
Invested
$138.8
Value
$173.5
PnL
+$34.7
Record
47%
895-994 (1889)
Invested
$115.2
Value
$120
PnL
+$4.8
Record
37%
960-1662 (2622)
RN1CTRInvested
$115.09
Value
—
PnL
-$115.09
Record
55%
5363-4304 (9667)
Invested
$29.75
Value
—
PnL
-$29.75
Record
48%
3214-3513 (6727)
Invested
$5.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
48%
2074-2236 (4310)