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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Finland — but Albania won instead.

Spread: Albania (-1.5)

Resolved Albania. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Finland. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

20

Finland 47%

Total Value

$7.2K

Combined PnL

$17.95

Smart Money Signal

Finland

9 of 20 top traders (45%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Albania100%
Finland0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Albania11 traders
Total Value$7.2K
Total Shares7,234
Combined PnL+$4.4K
Finland9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares6,454
Combined PnL$-4.4K
Albania — 55%Finland — 45%
RO
Rocky31
Albania

Invested

$1,474.09

Value

$4.4K

PnL

+$3.0K

Record

31%

55-120 (175)

GO
GoalLineGhost
Albania

Invested

$931.59

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$1.2K

Record

55%

1693-1391 (3084)

CI
cigarettesCTR
Finland

Invested

$3,350

Value

—

PnL

$-3.3K

Record

53%

6255-5540 (11795)

FL
Flaznorp
Albania

Invested

$289.13

Value

$300.81

PnL

+$11.67

Record

51%

2643-2567 (5210)

WA
WagerWizard
Albania

Invested

$120.27

Value

$129.32

PnL

+$9.05

Record

17%

38-183 (221)

AR
ARocky33
Albania

Invested

$103.68

Value

$108

PnL

+$4.32

Record

78%

721-203 (924)

0xheavy888CTR
Finland

Invested

$948

Value

—

PnL

-$948

Record

55%

293-243 (536)

PA
pauleta23<$100
Albania

Invested

$39.06

Value

$42

PnL

+$2.94

Record

35%

299-549 (848)

GH
ghorrock<$100
Albania

Invested

$8.9

Value

$24.24

PnL

+$27.33

Record

54%

1036-900 (1936)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100
Albania

Invested

$9

Value

$13.43

PnL

+$4.43

Record

83%

415-84 (499)

SE
sentrioCTR<$100
Finland

Invested

$14.36

Value

—

PnL

-$14.36

Record

41%

590-850 (1440)

FE
ferdinand2<$100
Albania

Invested

$8.82

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.18

Record

49%

1313-1344 (2657)

LR
lryyyCTR<$100
Finland

Invested

$5.56

Value

—

PnL

-$5.56

Record

44%

432-543 (975)

38
38791873984189
Albania

Invested

$172.55

Value

$5.52

PnL

-$71.94

Record

48%

2306-2514 (4820)

VE
VenusianCTR<$100
Finland

Invested

$12.62

Value

—

PnL

-$12.62

Record

32%

565-1193 (1758)

LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100
Finland

Invested

$31.5

Value

—

PnL

-$31.5

Record

54%

211-181 (392)

poshposhCTR<$100
Finland

Invested

$1.33

Value

—

PnL

-$1.33

Record

48%

591-648 (1239)

LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100
Finland

Invested

$2.92

Value

—

PnL

-$2.92

Record

33%

587-1187 (1774)

0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100
Finland

Invested

$0.39

Value

—

PnL

-$0.39

Record

33%

328-667 (995)

VA
Vampiro1
Albania

Invested

$200

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$201

Record

87%

90-14 (104)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x74dc7e4a...8c8dd6
Slug
unl-alb-fin-2026-11-12-spread-home-1pt5

Traders in this Market

RO

Rocky31

Albania — $4.4K

+$3.0K
GO

GoalLineGhost

Albania — $2.2K

+$1.2K
CI

cigarettes

CTR

Finland — $0

$-3.3K
FL

Flaznorp

Albania — $300.81

+$11.67
WA

WagerWizard

Albania — $129.32

+$9.05
AR

ARocky33

Albania — $108

+$4.32

0xheavy888

CTR

Finland — $0

-$948
PA

pauleta23

Albania — $42

+$2.94
GH

ghorrock

Albania — $24.24

+$27.33

ARTEM-DZYUBA

Albania — $13.43

+$4.43
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