Spread: LASK Linz (-2.5)

11 of 20 top Polymarket traders hold LASK Linz (55%) · LASK Linz at 97¢ · $6K held · ended Nov 3

LASK Linz97¢ŠK Slovan Bratislava3¢Ended Tue, Nov 3, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

LASK Linz

Consensus Traders

LASK Linz 55%

Total Value

$5.7K

Combined PnL

$237.08

Smart Money Entry

52.4¢ → 97¢

+85% since entry · 11 traders

Research grade

NeutralLASK Linz at 97%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

LASK Linz

11 of 20 top traders (55%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

LASK Linz97%

ŠK Slovan Bratislava3%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

LASK Linz11 traders

Total Value$3.1K

Total Shares5,091

Combined PnL+$247.97

ŠK Slovan Bratislava9 traders

Total Value$2.5K

Total Shares4,204

Combined PnL-$10.88

LASK Linz — 55%ŠK Slovan Bratislava — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	LASK Linzavg 64¢	$894.12	$1.1K	+$231.62	56% 7530-5969 (13499)
VeryLucky888CTR	ŠK Slovan Bratislavaavg 69¢	$1.1K	$1.0K	-$6.71	58% 44610-32488 (77098)
GO GoalLineGhost	LASK Linzavg 84.5¢	$1.0K	$959.76	-$48.63	50% 27298-27227 (54525)
FL FlaznorpCTR	ŠK Slovan Bratislavaavg 32.8¢	$769.75	$786.13	+$16.38	51% 23399-22168 (45567)
LI Limousin	LASK Linzavg 32¢	$597.96	$587.85	-$10.11	56% 942-736 (1678)
0xheavy888CTR	ŠK Slovan Bratislavaavg 69¢	$483	$479.5	-$3.5	55% 7598-6093 (13691)
38 38791873984189	LASK Linzavg 77.2¢	$245.25	$212.28	+$51.03	48% 14393-15903 (30296)
PA para-VisionCTR	ŠK Slovan Bratislavaavg 68¢	$153	$154.13	+$1.13	56% 229-182 (411)
SN SnakeBall<$100	LASK Linzavg 30.8¢	$81.85	$81.06	-$0.79	50% 35607-35082 (70689)
VE Venusian<$100	LASK Linzavg 32.1¢	$86.27	$80.7	-$5.57	53% 916-813 (1729)
GH ghorrock<$100	LASK Linzavg 30.4¢	$24.65	$51.27	+$30.3	58% 18597-13721 (32318)
MA MadridTime<$100	LASK Linzavg 29.8¢	$37.42	$38.28	+$0.86	52% 830-771 (1601)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	ŠK Slovan Bratislavaavg 56.2¢	$33.57	$32.23	-$1.34	50% 20187-20523 (40710)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	ŠK Slovan Bratislavaavg 59.1¢	$18.54	$14.67	-$3.87	47% 10564-11815 (22379)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	ŠK Slovan Bratislavaavg 69¢	$13.8	$13.7	-$0.1	52% 8455-7711 (16166)
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100	ŠK Slovan Bratislavaavg 69¢	$10	$10	-$0	74% 2370-822 (3192)
0X 0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187<$100	LASK Linzavg 32¢	$7.84	$7.35	-$0.61	15% 1116-6362 (7478)
FO fooooolCTR<$100	ŠK Slovan Bratislavaavg 45.2¢	$18.97	$6.09	-$12.88	50% 11609-11459 (23068)
SU suntori<$100	LASK Linzavg 32.1¢	$1.83	$1.71	-$0.12	45% 13648-16581 (30229)
LI LightParadox<$100	LASK Linzavg 31¢	$1.55	$1.5	-$0.03	54% 906-787 (1693)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

LASK Linz

Invested

$894.12

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$231.62

Record

56%

7530-5969 (13499)

VeryLucky888CTR

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Invested

$1,094.68

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$6.71

Record

58%

44610-32488 (77098)

GoalLineGhost

LASK Linz

Invested

$1,008.39

Value

$959.76

PnL

-$48.63

Record

50%

27298-27227 (54525)

FlaznorpCTR

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Invested

$769.75

Value

$786.13

PnL

+$16.38

Record

51%

23399-22168 (45567)

Limousin

LASK Linz

Invested

$597.96

Value

$587.85

PnL

-$10.11

Record

56%

942-736 (1678)

0xheavy888CTR

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Invested

$483

Value

$479.5

PnL

-$3.5

Record

55%

7598-6093 (13691)

38791873984189

LASK Linz

Invested

$245.25

Value

$212.28

PnL

+$51.03

Record

48%

14393-15903 (30296)

para-VisionCTR

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Invested

$153

Value

$154.13

PnL

+$1.13

Record

56%

229-182 (411)

SnakeBall<$100

LASK Linz

Invested

$81.85

Value

$81.06

PnL

-$0.79

Record

50%

35607-35082 (70689)

Venusian<$100

LASK Linz

Invested

$86.27

Value

$80.7

PnL

-$5.57

Record

53%

916-813 (1729)

ghorrock<$100

LASK Linz

Invested

$24.65

Value

$51.27

PnL

+$30.3

Record

58%

18597-13721 (32318)

MadridTime<$100

LASK Linz

Invested

$37.42

Value

$38.28

PnL

+$0.86

Record

52%

830-771 (1601)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Invested

$33.57

Value

$32.23

PnL

-$1.34

Record

50%

20187-20523 (40710)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Invested

$18.54

Value

$14.67

PnL

-$3.87

Record

47%

10564-11815 (22379)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Invested

$13.8

Value

$13.7

PnL

-$0.1

Record

52%

8455-7711 (16166)

rayvanmechelenCTR<$100

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Invested

$10

Value

$10

PnL

-$0

Record

74%

2370-822 (3192)

0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187<$100

LASK Linz

Invested

$7.84

Value

$7.35

PnL

-$0.61

Record

15%

1116-6362 (7478)

fooooolCTR<$100

ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Invested

$18.97

Value

$6.09

PnL

-$12.88

Record

50%

11609-11459 (23068)

suntori<$100

LASK Linz

Invested

$1.83

Value

$1.71

PnL

-$0.12

Record

45%

13648-16581 (30229)

LightParadox<$100

LASK Linz

Invested

$1.55

Value

$1.5

PnL

-$0.03

Record

54%

906-787 (1693)

Research grade

NeutralLASK Linz at 97%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

LASK Linz

11 of 20 top traders (55%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that LASK Linz wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance98.1%

97.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$1.99

Max Loss

-$100.00

102.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.