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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 40%
Total Value
$402.86
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 5 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0056925c...0a2ebb
Slug
spx-up-or-down-on-october-19-2026