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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd997a305...0026b0
Slug
spx-up-or-down-on-october-20-2026