Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Spezia Calcio vs. Vado FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Under 25%
1 arb excluded
$2.0K
$77.12
Smart Money Signal
2 of 8 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 81¢ | $1.1K | $1.0K | -$95.85 | 49% 4676-4943 (9619) |
DA dashattacker | Underavg 69.5¢ | $618.25 | $889.96 | +$271.71 | 65% 353-190 (543) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Underavg 87¢ | $159.96 | $100.6 | -$59.36 | 52% 2494-2286 (4780) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 87¢ | $87.52 | $100.6 | +$13.08 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 18¢ | $72.44 | — | -$72.44 | |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 19¢ | $77.48 | — | -$77.48 | 35% 635-1160 (1795) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 7.9¢ | $10.9 | — | -$10.9 | 38% 1332-2185 (3517) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 11¢ | $2.62 | — | -$2.62 | 49% 1336-1411 (2747) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 7¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 38% 1354-2191 (3545) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 14.4¢ | $2.04 | — | -$2.04 | 39% 1579-2471 (4050) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 44¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 38% 1354-2217 (3571) |
Invested
$1,106.96
Value
$1.0K
PnL
-$95.85
Record
49%
4676-4943 (9619)
Invested
$618.25
Value
$889.96
PnL
+$271.71
Record
65%
353-190 (543)
Invested
$159.96
Value
$100.6
PnL
-$59.36
Record
52%
2494-2286 (4780)
Both legs:
Invested
$77.48
Value
—
PnL
-$77.48
Record
35%
635-1160 (1795)
Invested
$10.9
Value
—
PnL
-$10.9
Record
38%
1332-2185 (3517)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$2.62
Value
—
PnL
-$2.62
Record
49%
1336-1411 (2747)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
38%
1354-2191 (3545)
Invested
$2.04
Value
—
PnL
-$2.04
Record
39%
1579-2471 (4050)
Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
38%
1354-2217 (3571)