Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Giugliano Calcio 1928 vs. AC Savoia 1908: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Over 33%
1 arb excluded
$573.05
$830.4
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 77.9Β’ | $956.74 | $269.37 | -$687.38 | 49% 4635-4904 (9539) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 27.4Β’ | $73.87 | $269.37 | +$195.5 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 77.9Β’ | $882.88 | β | -$882.88 | |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Overavg 92.3Β’ | $227.7 | $246.71 | +$19.01 | 99% 654-9 (663) |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Overavg 99.1Β’ | $56.46 | $56.97 | +$0.51 | 94% 148-9 (157) |
DA dashattackerCTR<$100 | Underavg 51Β’ | $64.61 | β | -$64.61 | 65% 349-188 (537) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 46.3Β’ | $15.96 | β | -$15.96 | 39% 1558-2440 (3998) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100 | Underavg 59.3Β’ | $11.86 | β | -$11.86 | 83% 962-202 (1164) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 86Β’ | $9.83 | β | -$9.83 | 52% 2473-2263 (4736) |
SU suntori | Overavg 20Β’ | $228.57 | $0.01 | +$913.14 | 46% 3240-3776 (7016) |
Invested
$956.74
Value
$269.37
PnL
-$687.38
Record
49%
4635-4904 (9539)
Both legs:
Invested
$227.7
Value
$246.71
PnL
+$19.01
Record
99%
654-9 (663)
Invested
$56.46
Value
$56.97
PnL
+$0.51
Record
94%
148-9 (157)
Invested
$64.61
Value
β
PnL
-$64.61
Record
65%
349-188 (537)
Invested
$15.96
Value
β
PnL
-$15.96
Record
39%
1558-2440 (3998)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100Invested
$11.86
Value
β
PnL
-$11.86
Record
83%
962-202 (1164)
Invested
$9.83
Value
β
PnL
-$9.83
Record
52%
2473-2263 (4736)
Invested
$228.57
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$913.14
Record
46%
3240-3776 (7016)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Over β $246.71
MarquisDeMott
Over β $56.97
dashattacker
CTRUnder β $0
topdogbigboi
CTRUnder β $0

ARTEM-DZYUBA
CTRUnder β $0
GoalLineGhost
CTRUnder β $0
suntori
Over β $0.01