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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will Cosenza Calcio win on 2026-11-15?

Resolved Yes. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

15

Yes 42%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$622.33

Combined PnL

$104.86

Smart Money Signal

Yes

8 of 15 top traders (53%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes8 traders
Total Value$572.81
Total Shares573
Combined PnL+$142.04
No7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares135
Combined PnL-$37.18
Yes — 53%No — 47%
FL
Flaznorp
Yes

Invested

$353.3

Value

$392.05

PnL

+$38.74

Record

48%

4819-5125 (9944)

GO
GoalLineGhost
Yes

Invested

$30.13

Value

$111.59

PnL

+$81.46

Record

52%

2587-2373 (4960)

TO
topdogbigboiARB<$100
No

Invested

$102.98

Value

$49.52

PnL

-$53.46

Record

39%

1657-2634 (4291)

Both legs:

Yes$39.0878.9¢+$10.44
No$63.932.1¢-$63.9
LO
looppau<$100
Yes

Invested

$43.29

Value

$43.33

PnL

+$0.04

Record

99%

872-2 (874)

XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100
Yes

Invested

$15.88

Value

$15.9

PnL

+$0.02

Record

38%

3874-6342 (10216)

tradecraft<$100
Yes

Invested

$8.85

Value

$9.52

PnL

+$0.67

Record

35%

516-946 (1462)

CI
cigarettesCTR<$100
No

Invested

$14

Value

—

PnL

-$14

Record

53%

7602-6693 (14295)

MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100
No

Invested

$6.46

Value

—

PnL

-$6.46

Record

38%

1416-2272 (3688)

poshposhCTR<$100
No

Invested

$5.49

Value

—

PnL

-$5.49

Record

48%

1389-1483 (2872)

FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100
No

Invested

$5.32

Value

—

PnL

-$0.26

Record

48%

2643-2871 (5514)

SL
SlickRick123CTR<$100
No

Invested

$4.16

Value

—

PnL

-$4.16

Record

38%

509-835 (1344)

SU
suntoriCTR<$100
No

Invested

$4.76

Value

—

PnL

-$4.76

Record

46%

3397-3944 (7341)

LR
lryyyCTR<$100
No

Invested

$2.05

Value

—

PnL

-$2.05

Record

45%

1018-1224 (2242)

0X
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.28

Value

$0.41

PnL

+$0.13

Record

46%

499-597 (1096)

VA
Vampiro1<$100
Yes

Invested

$20

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$2.05

Record

83%

306-61 (367)

BE
Betyourself<$100
Yes

Invested

$42.77

Value

—

PnL

+$18.93

Record

88%

43-6 (49)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x90fd0796...2e8f38
Slug
serc-cos-cfc-2026-11-15-cos

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

Yes — $392.05

+$38.74
GO

GoalLineGhost

Yes — $111.59

+$81.46
TO

topdogbigboi

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$53.46
LO

looppau

Yes — $43.33

+$0.04
XT

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $15.9

+$0.02

tradecraft

Yes — $9.52

+$0.67
CI

cigarettes

CTR

No — $0

-$14
MA

MadridTime

CTR

No — $0

-$6.46

poshposh

CTR

No — $0

-$5.49
FE

ferdinand2

CTR

No — $0

-$0.26
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