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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

SSC Bari vs. Calcio Foggia: O/U 4.5

Resolved Over. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Under 73%

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

-$295.59

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over3 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,046

Combined PnL+$544.6

Under8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,308

Combined PnL-$840.2

Over — 27%Under — 73%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	Overavg 26.4¢	$256.06	$799.92	+$543.86	53% 2166-1916 (4082)
PV pvc975	Overavg 99.9¢	$240.89	$241.13	+$0.24	98% 375-8 (383)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Underavg 38.1¢	$707.62	—	-$707.62	49% 3969-4117 (8086)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	Underavg 31¢	$11	—	-$11	36% 481-851 (1332)
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100	Overavg 90¢	$4.5	$5	+$0.5	99% 480-7 (487)
RN1CTR<$100	Underavg 41¢	$76.44	—	-$76.44	55% 5404-4376 (9780)
dips.CTR<$100	Underavg 1¢	$1.03	—	-$1.03	47% 993-1122 (2115)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Underavg 45.6¢	$27.66	—	-$27.66	38% 1015-1688 (2703)
LI LimousinCTR<$100	Underavg 32¢	$9.41	—	-$9.41	36% 979-1704 (2683)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Underavg 8.2¢	$2.2	—	-$2.2	37% 1063-1799 (2862)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Underavg 28¢	$4.83	—	-$4.83	48% 2164-2307 (4471)

Invested

$256.06

Value

$799.92

PnL

+$543.86

Record

53%

2166-1916 (4082)

Invested

$240.89

Value

$241.13

PnL

+$0.24

Record

98%

375-8 (383)

Invested

$707.62

Value

—

PnL

-$707.62

Record

49%

3969-4117 (8086)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

Invested

$11

Value

—

PnL

-$11

Record

36%

481-851 (1332)

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100

Invested

$4.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.5

Record

99%

480-7 (487)

Invested

$76.44

Value

—

PnL

-$76.44

Record

55%

5404-4376 (9780)

Invested

$1.03

Value

—

PnL

-$1.03

Record

47%

993-1122 (2115)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Invested

$27.66

Value

—

PnL

-$27.66

Record

38%

1015-1688 (2703)

LimousinCTR<$100

Invested

$9.41

Value

—

PnL

-$9.41

Record

36%

979-1704 (2683)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$2.2

Value

—

PnL

-$2.2

Record

37%

1063-1799 (2862)

ferdinand2CTR<$100

Invested

$4.83

Value

—

PnL

-$4.83

Record

48%

2164-2307 (4471)

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xde356110...221cc3

Slug

serc-bar-caf-2026-11-14-total-4pt5

Traders in this Market

GoalLineGhost

Over — $799.92

pvc975

Over — $241.13

Flaznorp

Under — $0

LuckyLoo

Under — $0

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Over — $5

RN1

Under — $0

dips.

Under — $0

MadridTime

Under — $0

Limousin

Under — $0

topdogbigboi

Under — $0

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