Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will AC Lumezzane vs. AC Trento end in a draw?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
No 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.7K
$153.44
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE pelik | Noavg 99.9¢ | $973.03 | $974 | +$0.97 | 99% 1594-4 (1598) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 72.5¢ | $442.64 | $610.76 | +$168.12 | 53% 2221-2002 (4223) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 28.8¢ | $205.72 | $91.51 | -$114.21 | 49% 4068-4262 (8330) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 78.7¢ | $71.98 | $91.51 | +$19.53 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 28.8¢ | $133.75 | — | -$133.75 | |
 tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $36.5 | $50 | +$13.5 | 31% 370-819 (1189) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Yesavg 27.6¢ | $25.07 | — | -$25.07 | 37% 1035-1784 (2819) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 44¢ | $0.95 | $1.79 | +$0.83 | 37% 1116-1869 (2985) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 27.7¢ | $4.92 | — | -$4.92 | 48% 2212-2378 (4590) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $7.3 | — | +$0 | 54% 1473-1278 (2751) |
Invested
$973.03
Value
$974
PnL
+$0.97
Record
99%
1594-4 (1598)
Invested
$442.64
Value
$610.76
PnL
+$168.12
Record
53%
2221-2002 (4223)
Invested
$205.72
Value
$91.51
PnL
-$114.21
Record
49%
4068-4262 (8330)
Both legs:
tradecraft<$100Invested
$36.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$13.5
Record
31%
370-819 (1189)
Invested
$25.07
Value
—
PnL
-$25.07
Record
37%
1035-1784 (2819)
Invested
$0.95
Value
$1.79
PnL
+$0.83
Record
37%
1116-1869 (2985)
Invested
$4.92
Value
—
PnL
-$4.92
Record
48%
2212-2378 (4590)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$7.3
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
1473-1278 (2751)