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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5

Resolved Over. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

17

Under 67%

Total Value

$140.05

Combined PnL

$326.71

Smart Money Signal

Under

13 of 17 top traders (76%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares23,707

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Over4 traders

Total Value$140.05

Total Shares140

Combined PnL+$1.8K

Under — 76%Over — 24%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VE VenusianCTR	Underavg 7¢	$1.0K	—	$-1.0K	51% 317-303 (620)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382	Overavg 95¢	$104.5	$110	+$5.5	46% 9230-10953 (20183)
LonnieHawkinss<$100	Overavg 94¢	$25	$25	+$1.5	52% 1995-1819 (3814)
DV dv-pm<$100	Overavg 95¢	$5.05	$5.05	+$0.25	49% 3241-3325 (6566)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Underavg 5.7¢	$4.7K	—	-$269.38	50% 26441-26261 (52702)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Underavg 4.9¢	$4.3K	—	-$213.31	51% 17649-16650 (34299)
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Underavg 1.2¢	$1	—	-$1	48% 5105-5464 (10569)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Underavg 5¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	53% 337-294 (631)
DI dips.CTR	Underavg 1¢	$118	—	-$1.18	46% 7328-8524 (15852)
RN1CTR<$100	Underavg 7¢	—	—	+$0	54% 58173-50394 (108567)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Underavg 5¢	—	—	+$0	50% 19845-20180 (40025)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Underavg 1¢	—	—	+$0	54% 21611-18652 (40263)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Underavg 5¢	—	—	+$0	50% 34723-34187 (68910)
TH thetesterguy	Overavg 93¢	$24.5K	—	+$1.8K	91% 68-7 (75)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	Underavg 4¢	—	—	+$0	49% 13483-14184 (27667)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Underavg 4¢	—	—	+$0	57% 17377-12977 (30354)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Underavg 3.8¢	—	—	+$0	47% 13102-14675 (27777)

Invested

$1,010.96

Value

—

PnL

$-1.0K

Record

51%

317-303 (620)

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

Invested

$104.5

Value

$110

PnL

+$5.5

Record

46%

9230-10953 (20183)

LonnieHawkinss<$100

Invested

$25

Value

$25

PnL

+$1.5

Record

52%

1995-1819 (3814)

Invested

$5.05

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.25

Record

49%

3241-3325 (6566)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Invested

$4,691.39

Value

—

PnL

-$269.38

Record

50%

26441-26261 (52702)

Invested

$4,332.97

Value

—

PnL

-$213.31

Record

51%

17649-16650 (34299)

smithagentCTR<$100

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

48%

5105-5464 (10569)

LightParadoxCTR<$100

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

53%

337-294 (631)

Invested

$118

Value

—

PnL

-$1.18

Record

46%

7328-8524 (15852)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

58173-50394 (108567)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

19845-20180 (40025)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

21611-18652 (40263)

SnakeBallCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

34723-34187 (68910)

Invested

$24,481

Value

—

PnL

+$1.8K

Record

91%

68-7 (75)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

13483-14184 (27667)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

17377-12977 (30354)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

13102-14675 (27777)

Smart Money Signal

Under

13 of 17 top traders (76%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfd64352b...f0ae5a

Slug

sea-sas-fio-2026-11-02-total-0pt5

Traders in this Market

Venusian

Under — $0

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

Over — $110

LonnieHawkinss

Over — $25

dv-pm

Over — $5.05

GoalLineGhost

Under — $0

Flaznorp

Under — $0

smithagent

Under — $0

LightParadox

Under — $0

dips.

Under — $0

RN1

Under — $0

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