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Under
RN1CTROverUnderOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 60%
Total Value
$5.2K
Combined PnL
$113.28
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$5.2K
Total Shares5,207
Combined PnL+$439.01
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,838
Combined PnL-$325.73
Under — 40%Over — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 11.1¢ | $5.0K | $5.0K | +$214.32 | 51% 47280-44570 (91850) |
RN1CTR | Overavg 40.2¢ | $402.01 | — | -$180.79 | 53% 70213-61793 (132006) |
LI LightParadox | Underavg 8.7¢ | $21.4 | $246.09 | +$224.69 | 47% 2124-2359 (4483) |
WA WagerWizardCTR | Overavg 95.4¢ | $147.52 | — | -$140.61 | 71% 18412-7577 (25989) |
AP apprentice15CTR<$100 | Overavg 68¢ | $4.34 | — | -$4.34 | 42% 537-734 (1271) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$4,961.29
Value
$5.0K
PnL
+$214.32
Record
51%
47280-44570 (91850)
RN1CTRInvested
$402.01
Value
—
PnL
-$180.79
Record
53%
70213-61793 (132006)
LI
LightParadoxInvested
$21.4
Value
$246.09
PnL
+$224.69
Record
47%
2124-2359 (4483)
WA
WagerWizardCTRInvested
$147.52
Value
—
PnL
-$140.61
Record
71%
18412-7577 (25989)
AP
apprentice15CTR<$100Invested
$4.34
Value
—
PnL
-$4.34
Record
42%
537-734 (1271)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8160ce96...37e4c0
Slug
scop-cel-kil-2026-11-08-total-1pt5